11–12 December 2018, European Commission, Brussels
The future of Europe is uncertain: on top of political and financial troubles come increasing climate risks. The success of implementing the Paris Agreement is up in the air; yet even with a 2°C temperature rise there will be great adaptation needs. Extreme weather events are projected to increase in strength and frequency, and be unequally distributed across the continent. Climate change is expected to further increase migration flows.
Our workshop will explore how foresight methods can be used for designing integrated responses in a changing climate. Participants will assess how Juncker’s 5 futures of Europe and the Climate futures report can be enhanced using additional narratives as a basis for assessing climate actions, and for designing and characterising effective strategies to climate risks.
- What do these “5 futures” along with climate change mean for CCA and DRR action?
- Which response actions can be implemented now to increase resilience?
- How can we use foresight methods to reduce the risks stemming from future extreme weather?
The results of the workshop will contribute to European policy development in DRR and CCA and to the identification of knowledge gaps and associated research priorities.
|12:00||Tea, coffee & light snacks|
|12:45||Session 1: Setting the scene|
|14:15||Session 2 – break out groups: Potential EU futures and their relevance for DRR & CCA|
|What do the 5 future scenarios for Europe mean for climate adaptation and disaster reduction? So far, the differences between the 5 future scenarios have been mostly focused on mitigation. In this session, we will begin to translate these futures for CCA & DRR, focusing on the case studies and the questions:
European policy level – multi-hazard:
|16:00–17:00||Session 2 – plenary: Potential EU futures and their relevance for DRR and CCA|
|08:30||Tea & coffee|
|09:00||Session 3: From scenarios to action – how can our findings translate into CCA and DRR policies and practice?|
|11:15||Session 4: How can the findings be translated into CCA & DRR policies and practice, and implemented? How can foresight support them?|
|Teaser presentations from DG CLIMA (EU Adaptation Strategy Evaluation) and DG ECHO (EU Civil Protection Mechanism and Risk Assessment) about the ongoing efforts and way forward for policy processes in CCA (Climate adaptation policy) and DRR (civil protection policy).
Break-out groups to discuss:
|12:45||Reflections and follow up suggestions|